Stack. Advance. Ship.
I’m going to lean into early exposure to the Rams and Eagles giving me access to two explosive NFC offenses with concentrated production. From there, I’ll layer in a mixed bag of AFC matchups. We are expecting Underdog’s early contest today and it is ripe to take advantage of. I actually think the fades will be easier to identify: Rome Odunze 16 adp, Bucky Irving 17 adp, Josh Jacobs 20 adp, DK Metcalf 33 adp, Brian Thomas 46 adp stand out. While those individual prices are outlandish, I’ll fade all those teams and let my competition stack them.
All odds are from the Spike Week Playoff Odds
AFC
Super Bowl Contenders
1. Buffalo Bills
The Bills are one of the most exciting teams in football. Josh Allen makes big plays with his arm and legs, and the offense can score from anywhere. If they get hot at the right time, their upside makes them a real Super Bowl threat.
- Bye Odds: 7%
- Playoff Odds: 94%
- Super Bowl Odds: 13%
- Draftable Players: Josh Allen, James Cook, Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid. Then a bunch of maybes; Josh Palmer, Keon Coleman, Tyrell Shavers, Ty Johnson, Ray Davis, Gabe Davis (Yes, it is November 2025 and I just wrote Gabe Davis)
2. New England Patriots
The Patriots are a solid all-around team. Drake Maye gives them steady quarterback play, and TreVeyon Henderson adds a spark in the run game. The defense is tough and well-coached. They may not be flashy, but they know how to win. The question is whether they have enough firepower to string together multiple playoff wins
- Bye Odds: 38%
- Playoff Odds: 100%
- Super Bowl Odds: 23%
- Draftable Players: Drake Maye, TreVeyon Henderson, Rhadmonde Stevenson, Stefon Diggs, Kayshon Boutte, Hunter Henry
3. Indianapolis Colts
Daniel Jones brings mobility and experience, and Jonathan Taylor remains a top-tier weapon in the backfield. Tyler Warren has stepped up as a reliable target, giving the offense a much-needed boost in the passing game. Whether they can win in January depends on how well Jones can manage games and avoid mistakes.
- Bye Odds: 29%
- Playoff Odds: 97%
- Super Bowl Odds: 21%
- Draftable Players: Daniel Jones, Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, Tyler Warren
4. Denver Broncos
The Broncos are a scrappy team with some upside, but questions remain. Bo Nix has shown flashes of promise, and Troy Franklin and Courtland Sutton give him steady targets. RJ Harvey adds speed to the backfield, though it’s unclear if he can handle a full workload. If the offense finds rhythm, they could be a sneaky playoff threat
- Bye Odds: 24%
- Playoff Odds: 98%
- Super Bowl Odds: 15%
- Draftable Players: Bo Nix, RJ Harvey, Troy Franklin, Cortland Sutton, Pat Bryant, Marvin Mims, Evan Engram (TE sites)
The Rest
5. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are still dangerous, but they’ve had to grind more than usual this season. Patrick Mahomes keeps them in every game, and Rashee Rice has emerged as a key piece, his ability to create after the catch gives the offense much-needed juice. If Rice continues to grow into a true WR1, it could unlock the ceiling this team needs for another deep playoff run.
- Bye Odds: 0%
- Playoff Odds: 50%
- Super Bowl Odds: 6%
- Draftable Players: Patrick Mahomes, Kareem Hunt, Isiah Pacheco, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, Tyquan Thornton, Travis Kelce
6. Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is always in play for fantasy scoring thanks to Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat ability and explosive playmaking. If they secure a playoff spot, it’s likely through a division win, which means home-field advantage and a potential high-scoring showdown with the Bills.
- Bye Odds: 0%
- Playoff Odds: 65%
- Super Bowl Odds: 9%
- Draftable Players: Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews
7. Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles has the pieces to make noise. Justin Herbert gives them above average quarterback play, and Omarion Hampton adds power and burst to the run game. Ladd McConkey and Oronde Gadsden bring versatility and playmaking to the receiver room, giving Herbert multiple ways to attack. You really have to decide if this team is ready to contend with its offensive line injuries.
- Bye Odds: 1%
- Playoff Odds: 79%
- Super Bowl Odds: 7%
- Draftable Players: Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, Ladd McConkey, Oronde Gadsen. You could easily make a case to go deeper if you believe the Chargers are a contender right now.
NFC
Super Bowl Contenders
1. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are firing on all cylinders. Their offense is electric, Stafford is playing at an elite level, and the defense keeps creating momentum-shifting plays. Puka continues to dominate with elite volume and separation, while Kyren’s workload makes him one of the most valuable backs in the playoffs.
- Bye Odds: 25%
- Playoff Odds: 98%
- Super Bowl Odds: 20%
- Draftable Players: Matt Stafford, Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, TE of your choice. Tutu and Whittington are very thin but could be mixed in, however they use many WR’s.
2. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are clearly a contender, but they haven’t looked dominant. The offense has been inconsistent, and the defense hasn’t been as sharp as in past years. Jalen Hurts is still a threat, but unless the offense finds another gear, it’s hard to treat them as the top Super Bowl bet.
- Bye Odds: 58%
- Playoff Odds: 100%
- Super Bowl Odds: 26%
- Draftable Players: Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, Dallas Goedert
3. Detroit Lions
This one is tricky. The Lions have shown flashes of Super Bowl upside, but they remain vulnerable on any given Sunday. Jared Goff has struggled under pressure all season, and his inability to consistently navigate it raises real concerns about their ceiling.
- Bye Odds: 2%
- Playoff Odds: 79%
- Super Bowl Odds: 11%
- Draftable Players: Jared Goff, Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam Laporta ( I may hold off on Laporta depending on injury news)
The Rest
4. Seattle Seahawks
This team has the talent to shine on any given gameday, but the inconsistency makes it hard to envision them winning three straight road games. To take the next step, they need to get Rashid Shaheed more involved and unlock his playmaking ability.
- Bye Odds: 8%
- Playoff Odds: 94%
- Super Bowl Odds: 19%
- Draftable Players: Sam Darnold, Ken Walker, Zach Charbonnet, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rasheed Shaheed, AJ Barner (TE sites)
5. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers fall into the rest for a reason. I don’t believe their current level of play, especially on defense, is strong enough to reach the Super Bowl. I’m keeping the door open in case Brock Purdy’s return transforms the offense into a juggernaut
- Bye Odds: 2%
- Playoff Odds: 82%
- Super Bowl Odds: 3%
- Draftable Players: Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffery, George Kittle
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa doesn’t stand out much relative to other NFC options, but with Baker Mayfield and playoff odds north of 90%, they’re clearly draftable. For now, I’m treating them as a secondary piece rather than a primary Super Bowl path.
- Bye Odds: 3%
- Playoff Odds: 92%
- Super Bowl Odds: 8%
- Draftable Players: Baker Mayfield, Bucky Irving, Emeka Egbuka, Mike Evans
7. Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is a late addition that I probably won’t draft this week myself. However, with 10% odds to make the Super Bowl, I felt inclined to include.
- Bye Odds: 1%
- Playoff Odds: 73%
- Super Bowl Odds: 10%
- Draftable Players: Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs
